Tuesday, March 10, 2009

All-Geek Team

Here is an interesting excerpt from what is becoming one of my favorite sites: Big Ten Geeks:
Kalin Lucas:
ORtg: 110.2
Shot%: 28.6

Conference player of the year. What's interesting about Lucas is how he adapted his role over the course of the season. Early on in non-conference play, Lucas was a grade-A distributor, with an assist rate around 40.0. But when conference play came around, and Raymar Morgan got sick, and Chris Allen went cold, Lucas became Michigan State's primary scorer. His conference-only numbers make him look like a "shoot first" point guard. The other interesting thing about Lucas is how high his efficiency was despite his lackluster shooting. Lucas posted an effective field goal percentage of 46.1, thanks to a pretty lousy 42% mark from 2 point range. But he made up for it by consuming possessions without turnovers, and by getting to the line at a very healthy rate (where he is deadly). But our modest proposal for Lucas continues - Tom Izzo has a 6-0 player who hits nearly 40% of his three pointers - why is he shooting over 3 times as many 2s? Just imagine if Lucas' shot selection went all Dee Brown. Scary.
It's good to know that what I saw happen is actually backed up by numbers.  Lucas went from big time dime dropper to The Man on this Spartans team when Morgan went down.  It was great to see the transformation and it's really interesting to look at his con/non-con splits.
Just imagine if Lucas' shot selection went all Dee Brown. Scary.
Scary, indeed.

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